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Vol. I · Sunday 20 September 2026 Follow the wire on X

A newsroom, not a tracker

AI Resets

The coding-limit wire

Breaking

The flush: Tibo hits the paid flush: Codex and ChatGPT Work meters zeroed after the bug week · Desk note: Friday reply, Tuesday promise: Tibo confirms a date and names nothing · Propagation: Desk note: Tibo says the September reset has propagated · Make-good: The banked reset that did not apply, and the make-good that followed · Predictions on this site are superstition · The flush: Tibo hits the paid flush: Codex and ChatGPT Work meters zeroed after the bug week · Desk note: Friday reply, Tuesday promise: Tibo confirms a date and names nothing · Propagation: Desk note: Tibo says the September reset has propagated · Make-good: The banked reset that did not apply, and the make-good that followed · Predictions on this site are superstition

Illustration: the brass button on a dark desk, the object this whole beat is about

Every card has a receipt

Never miss a free reset.

Codex · Claude Code · Grok Bot · Cursor · Gemini. Public posts only.

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USAGE METER EMPTY FULL AIRESETS · MK I
  • 35 cards filed since 15 May 2026
  • 5 bureaus watched one wire
  • 3 flushes in 3 days June war room

Scroll to press the button

The forecast

Will Codex reset today?

How this is computed →
CodexClaude CodeGrok Botas of 20 Sep, 17:36 UTC

Codex reset estimate

next 24 hours

29%

model estimate

by 48 hours

50%

model estimate

by 72 hours

66%

model estimate

Last full reset:
8 days ago (Sat 12 Sep, 01:09 PT)
Busiest window:
16:00 to 19:00 PT
Confidence: Low37 resets on file · 36 waits fitted

Next catalysts:Tue 22 Sep banked reset (promised) · Tue 29 Sep OpenAI DevDay (in 9 d) · Grok 4.7 (imminent)

OpenAI milestone rung overdue: 22 days since Codex 25M active users, median spacing 9 days, x1.20 on the hazard.

Banked reset announced for Tue 22 Sep90% for that day, kept out of the hazard source: Tibo

Weibull hazard on 36 waits since March 2026, no edge on the base rate yet (Brier 0.155 against 0.155 over 164 backtested days).

Claude Code reset estimate

next 24 hours

9%

model estimate

by 48 hours

17%

model estimate

by 72 hours

24%

model estimate

Last full reset:
15 days ago (Fri 4 Sep, 13:08 PT)
Busiest window:
11:00 to 14:00 PT
Confidence: Low11 resets on file · 10 waits fitted

Next catalysts:Tue 22 Sep banked reset (promised) · Tue 29 Sep OpenAI DevDay (in 9 d) · Grok 4.7 (imminent)

Weibull hazard on 10 waits, behind the base rate by 0.026 of Brier (Brier 0.070 against 0.044 over 92 backtested days).

Grok Bot reset estimate

next 24 hours

20%

model estimate

by 48 hours

36%

model estimate

by 72 hours

48%

model estimate

Last full reset:
14 days ago (Sat 5 Sep, 11:24 PT)
Busiest window:
10:00 to 13:00 PT
Confidence: Low3 resets on file · 2 waits fitted

Next catalysts:Tue 22 Sep banked reset (promised) · Tue 29 Sep OpenAI DevDay (in 9 d) · Grok 4.7 (imminent)

Exponential hazard shrunk to the Codex prior on 2 waits; too few resets to score it yet, so confidence stays Low.

The saints of the reset

Three desks. One button each.

  1. Illustration: a devotional prayer card for the Codex desk. A hooded figure with a burst of light where a face would be, holding a brass button, lettered GIVER OF TOKENS.

    Codex · last flush 8 d ago

  2. Illustration: a devotional prayer card for the Claude Code desk. A hooded figure with a burst of light where a face would be, holding an hourglass, lettered KEEPER OF THE WEEKLY.

    Claude Code · last flush 15 d ago

  3. Illustration: a devotional prayer card for the Grok Bot desk. A hooded figure with a burst of light where a face would be, holding a spilling vessel, lettered BRINGER OF THE FLUSH.

    Grok Bot · last flush 14 d ago

What is coming

The days the button gets pressed.

Illustration: a perforated brass coupon reading ONE BANKED RESET, REDEEM AT YOUR OWN LEISURE, with a TUESDAY stamp across the corner.

Banked reset promised for Tue 22 Sep

The man with the button

Tibo, the man with the button

  1. Illustration: the war room, a long table of lit terminals on a drain-weekend Sunday, no people in frame. War room · June RESET week, the unfunny kind: Tibo hard-resets Codex mid-investigation
  2. Illustration: the milestone ladder, brass rungs stamped 15M, 20M and 25M climbing out of frame. Ladder · 15M The silent ladder pays out: 15 million, reset within the hour
  3. Illustration: the sleep zone, a dark clock face between 01:00 and 08:00 Pacific with no marks on it. Sleep zone · August Never slept better: a Thursday flush for youth and usage
  4. Illustration: the desk, an empty chair, a lit lamp and one brass button, seen from behind. Lead The flush · August Tibo hits the paid flush: Codex and ChatGPT Work meters zeroed after the bug week
  5. Illustration: a usage meter snapping from a thin red sliver to a full brass bar. Astra week · September All reset for everyone. Enjoy the week with Astra.

The board

Five bureaus. Days since the last flush.

  1. Illustration: the bureau seal for the OpenAI desk. 8 days since last flush OpenAI
  2. Illustration: the bureau seal for the Anthropic desk. 15 days since last flush Anthropic
  3. Illustration: the bureau seal for the xAI desk. 14 days since last flush xAI
  4. Illustration: the bureau seal for the Anysphere desk. none no card on file Anysphere
  5. Illustration: the bureau seal for the Google desk. none no card on file Google

Every card has a receipt

43 public posts on file. Zero screenshots from Discord.

See all receipts →

Each one is the announcing post itself, kept with its permalink and posting time.

RECEIPT @thsottiaux posted captured
Capture of the post by @thsottiaux on 29 Aug 2026

We are reseting usage for all paid users of Codex and ChatGPT Work. Please continue reading for an update on Codex usage limits. The team has been working around the clock, going through thousands of reports and shipping fixes. Depending on how you use Codex, you should see

Post continues · read the rest on X

Tibo · @thsottiaux · 29 Aug 2026
Open on X Read the card

The featured card

Tibo hits the paid flush: Codex and ChatGPT Work meters zeroed after the bug week

A named hard reset for every paid Codex and ChatGPT Work seat, posted at 20:43 UTC with a thread of fixes underneath it.

Verified 29 August 2026
Read the card →

Latest wire

Copy as it landed

Full archive →
  1. Codex Friday reply, Tuesday promise: Tibo confirms a date and names nothing Policy Verified
  2. Codex Desk note: Tibo says the September reset has propagated Hard reset Verified
  3. Codex The banked reset that did not apply, and the make-good that followed Banked grant Verified
  4. Codex All reset for everyone. Enjoy the week with Astra. Hard reset Verified
  5. Grok Another Bot wipe, four days later — still not your Cursor plan reset Hard reset Verified
  6. Codex Happy Astra day: banked reset for Plus, Pro, Business Banked grant Verified

Tibo folklore

Two jokes the record keeps score on.

  • Illustration: a devotional card for the sleep zone, a dark clock face with the hours 01:00 to 08:00 Pacific left unmarked.
    Codex resets landing between 01:00 and 08:00 PT: 2 of 37 since March.
  • Illustration: a devotional card for the milestone ladder, brass rungs stamped 10M through 25M climbing out of frame with the top rung unlit.
    5 rungs paid, the last at 25M on Aug 30. 30M unpaid, 22 days since, median spacing 9 days.

Open the folklore board →

Never miss

Never miss a Codex miracle

35 cards filed since May · 5 bureaus

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Who runs this desk

From the same desk

Anton Abyzov, who runs the desk

Anton Abyzov, solo founder, eight products on one playbook: write the spec, ship the increment, sync the docs.

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    Sports competition management: leagues, fixtures, standings, match simulator.

    Run a competition

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    Verify a skill

  3. SpecWeave

    Spec-driven development: write the spec, ship the increment, sync the docs.

    Read the playbook
  4. S

    Skill Studio

    Local IDE to author, benchmark and refine Claude Code agent skills.

    Open the studio
  5. A

    AnyModel

    Stateless LLM proxy: point Claude Code at local or other models.

    Point your agent

  6. SkillUp Football

    Youth football drills app.

    Get the drills

  7. JobWeave

    Inbox triage and a tailored CV for job hunts.

    Triage the inbox
  8. A

    Anton Abyzov: AI Power

    Agent stacks, Claude Code, shipping with specs.

    Watch the channel
  9. f

    football.antonabyzov.com

    The playing record in full: futsal, coaching, goals worth watching.

    See the record

Outbound links carry a desk campaign tag.